Net Load Forecasting

See the Grid Between the Peaks — and Prepare for What’s Behind the Meter

Leaptran’s Net Load Forecasting solution enables utilities, grid operators, and aggregators to accurately predict net demand by accounting for behind-the-meter (BTM) solar, distributed generation, and large flexible loads such as AI data centers and electrification clusters.
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With DER penetration and load flexibility growing rapidly, net load forecasting is no longer optional — it’s operationally essential.

Why Net Load Forecasting Matters Now

The grid is changing faster than legacy models can track:

  • BTM Solar and DERs are reshaping midday demand curves — often invisible to traditional utility load forecasts
  • AI data centers, EV fleets, and industrial loads introduce unpredictable ramping, spikes, and load shifting
  • Real-time grid stability depends on understanding what’s actually being served by the bulk system — not just what’s consumed

Net Load = Total Load – Behind-the-Meter Generation
Getting it wrong leads to over/under-commitment, reserve imbalance, and reliability risk.

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Technology

Our Forecasting Engine

Leaptran’s net load forecasting engine combines real-time telemetry, weather-normalized ML models, and inverter/AMI analytics to estimate net demand at multiple spatial scales.

Key Features:

  • 15-min to 24-hour to days ahead (e.g., 14 days) forecasts, updated continuously
  • Feeder- to system-level granularity, with custom aggregation
  • BTM solar inference using AMI + irradiance + statistical disaggregation
  • Flexible load profiling for large customers (e.g., AI, EVs, campuses)

Optional Enhancements:

  • Anomaly detection for sudden DER loss or load spikes
  • P80/P90 net load envelope generation for market use
  • Load disaggregation by segment or feeder

Example Use Case

A Texas utility deployed Leaptran’s net load model across high-DER feeders and reduced 15-min net load MAE by 30%, enabling improved feeder-level VVO (Volt/VAR Optimization) and day-ahead bid accuracy.

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Integration Options

Leaptran supports:
  • Secure API and SFTP delivery (JSON, CSV, XML)
  • Integration with ADMS, SCADA, or DERMS platforms
  • Visualization dashboards for control room use
  • Alerts for ramping risk, load drops, or over-generation
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Who It's For

  • Utilities / Munis / Co-ops: Accurately dispatch and plan for DER-influenced demand
  • ISOs / RTOs: Align market operations with BTM reality
  • Aggregators & Retailers: Forecast load curves with hidden generation and flexible demand
  • AI Campus or Large Load Managers: Model and schedule flexible loads to align with price signals or grid constraints
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Why Leaptran

  • Proven inference methods for BTM solar using real-world AMI + weather
  • Large flexible load modeling for AI, EV, and industrial hubs
  • Hybrid ML + physics-based architecture, continuously learning from the grid
  • Interoperable with DERMS, ADMS, ISO portals, and utility SCADA

Get Ahead of the Curve

Leaptran’s Net Load Forecasting delivers the insight you need to operate a distributed, flexible, and fast-changing grid.

REQUEST A NET LOAD FORECASTING DEMO

Let's Get in Touch

We’d love to hear from you if you are interested in how our solutions can work for your business.

Email us at: info@leaptran.com

Employment

To apply for a job with Leaptran, please send a cover letter together with your C.V. to: info@leaptran.com

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