Net Load Forecasting

See the Grid Between the Peaks — and Prepare for What’s Behind the Meter

Leaptran’s Net Load Forecasting solution enables utilities, grid operators, and aggregators to accurately predict net demand by accounting for behind-the-meter (BTM) solar, distributed generation, and large flexible loads such as AI data centers and electrification clusters.

With DER penetration and load flexibility growing rapidly, net load forecasting is no longer optional — it’s operationally essential.

Why Net Load Forecasting Matters Now

The grid is changing faster than legacy models can track:

  • BTM Solar and DERs are reshaping midday demand curves — often invisible to traditional utility load forecasts
  • AI data centers, EV fleets, and industrial loads introduce unpredictable ramping, spikes, and load shifting
  • Real-time grid stability depends on understanding what’s actually being served by the bulk system — not just what’s consumed

Net Load = Total Load – Behind-the-Meter Generation
Getting it wrong leads to over/under-commitment, reserve imbalance, and reliability risk.

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Technology

Our Forecasting Engine

Leaptran’s net load forecasting engine combines real-time telemetry, weather-normalized ML models, and inverter/AMI analytics to estimate net demand at multiple spatial scales.

Key Features:

  • 15-min to 24-hour to days ahead (e.g., 14 days) forecasts, updated continuously
  • Feeder- to system-level granularity, with custom aggregation
  • BTM solar inference using AMI + irradiance + statistical disaggregation
  • Flexible load profiling for large customers (e.g., AI, EVs, campuses)

Optional Enhancements:

  • Anomaly detection for sudden DER loss or load spikes
  • P80/P90 net load envelope generation for market use
  • Load disaggregation by segment or feeder

Example Use Case

A Texas utility deployed Leaptran’s net load model across high-DER feeders and reduced 15-min net load MAE by 30%, enabling improved feeder-level VVO (Volt/VAR Optimization) and day-ahead bid accuracy.

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Integration Options

Leaptran supports:
  • Secure API and SFTP delivery (JSON, CSV, XML)
  • Integration with ADMS, SCADA, or DERMS platforms
  • Visualization dashboards for control room use
  • Alerts for ramping risk, load drops, or over-generation
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Who It's For

  • Utilities / Munis / Co-ops: Accurately dispatch and plan for DER-influenced demand
  • ISOs / RTOs: Align market operations with BTM reality
  • Aggregators & Retailers: Forecast load curves with hidden generation and flexible demand
  • AI Campus or Large Load Managers: Model and schedule flexible loads to align with price signals or grid constraints
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Why Leaptran

  • Proven inference methods for BTM solar using real-world AMI + weather
  • Large flexible load modeling for AI, EV, and industrial hubs
  • Hybrid ML + physics-based architecture, continuously learning from the grid
  • Interoperable with DERMS, ADMS, ISO portals, and utility SCADA

Get Ahead of the Curve

Leaptran’s Net Load Forecasting delivers the insight you need to operate a distributed, flexible, and fast-changing grid.

REQUEST A NET LOAD FORECASTING DEMO

Let's Get in Touch

We’d love to hear from you if you are interested in how our solutions can work for your business.

Email us at: info@leaptran.com

Employment

To apply for a job with Leaptran, please send a cover letter together with your C.V. to: info@leaptran.com

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